2005 Financial Review
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION
Forward-Looking Information
This document contains both historical and forward-looking information. Words such as “anticipates,” “estimates,” “expects,” “projects,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “may,” “should” and similar expressions may identify forward-looking information. Forward-looking information in this document includes, but is not limited to, statements regarding use of proceeds from the sale of BAX Global, costs associated with indemnities and tax liabilities from the BAX Global sale, the expectation of significant ongoing expenses and cash outflows related to former coal operations, the creation of further valuation allowances and the reversal of valuation allowances, the realization of deferred tax assets, the anticipated effective tax rate for 2006, the expected reduction in U.S. retirement benefit plan expenses in 2006, Brink’s ability to generate operating profit margins above 7% annually, variances in Brink’s performance from period to period, possible insurance recoveries, expected annual cost savings from Brink’s restructuring in Europe, the outcome of the issue relating to the non-payment of customs duties and value-added tax by a non-U.S. subsidiary of Brink’s, Incorporated, the effect of the U.S. economy on BHS’ performance, changes in the disconnect rate and related expenses at BHS, selective increases in BHS’ monitoring prices, expectations regarding 2006 growth rates in subscribers, revenues and operating profit at BHS and expected lower operating profit margins at BHS for the first half of 2006. the impact of BHS’ second monitoring center on expenses and future growth and productivity, the impact of freezing the U.S. defined benefit pension plan, the impact that the refusal of police departments to respond to calls from alarm companies without visual verification could have on BHS’ results of operations, the duration and size of Legacy liabilities, anticipated changes in the estimated payments and expenses related to Legacy liabilities, expected coal-related tax benefits, the expectation that the Company will realize the benefit of net deferred tax assets, the estimated payout period for annual Combined Fund premiums, changes in payment requirements for unassigned beneficiaries under the Health Benefit Act and increases of the Company’s obligations under the Health Benefit Act for this and other reasons, the decline over time of cash payments for black lung obligations, the satisfaction of the liability for the coal-related multi-employer plans, expected tax payments arising from the 2005 repatriation, the utilization of U.S. tax carryforwards, cash out flows arising from the changes to the 401(k) plan, the timing and amount of stock option expense related to the new accounting requirements, possible share repurchases, the possibility that Venezuela may be considered highly inflationary again, the possibility that Brink’s Venezuela may be subject to less favorable exchange rates on dividend remittances, capital expenditures in 2006, expected utilization of additional debt, estimated contractual obligations for the next five years, the adequacy of sources of liquidity to meet the Company’s near term requirements, the use of earnings from foreign subsidiaries and equity affiliates, the impact of exchange rates, the ability of the Company to provide letters of credit or other collateral to replace any surety bonds that are not renewed in the future, the use of the Letter of Credit Facility to replace surety bonds and other letters of credit, future contributions to and use of the VEBA, and expected investment returns on funds contributed to the VEBA, if any, the outcome of pending litigation, estimates for coal-related contingent liabilities, the possible need to replace a component used by BHS and the impact that replacing the component would have on BHS’ financial condition and results of operations, the likelihood of losses due to non-performance by parties to hedging instruments, projected payments and expense for the primary U.S. pension plan and its expected long-term rate of return, possible pension plan contributions, the effectiveness of the Company’s hedges, estimates of future reconnection experience at BHS and the impact of any change in estimates on BHS’ impairment charges, estimated discount rates and expected returns on assets related to legacy liabilities, the Company’s salary increase assumption, changes in the assumed level of inflation for a number of the Company’s benefit plans, and the impact of recent proposals regarding changes to the accounting model for pension plans, involve forward-looking information which is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and contingencies which could cause actual results, performance or achievements, to differ materially from those that are anticipated.
These risks, uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, include, but are not limited to, strategic initiatives and acquisition opportunities, the Company’s tax position and the tax impact of various possible uses of the proceeds from the BAX Global sale, decisions by the Company’s Board of Directors, the satisfaction or waiver of limitations on the use of proceeds contained in various of the Company’s financing arrangements, the demand for capital, the timing of the pass-through of costs by third parties and governmental authorities relating to the disposal of the coal assets, retirement decisions by mine workers, performance of the investments made by the multi-employer plans, estimates made by the multi-employer plans, the number of participants in the multi-employer plans and the cost to administer the plans, comparisons of hours worked by covered coal employees over the last five years versus industry averages, black lung claims incidence, the number of dependents of mine workers for whom benefits are provided, actual medical and legal expenses related to benefits, increases in the Company’s shares of the unassigned obligations under the Health Benefit Act, the funding and benefit levels of multi-employer plans and pension plans, changes in inflation rates (including medical inflation) and interest rates, acquisitions and dispositions made by the Company in the future, the ability of the operations to identify losses as relating to Hurricane Katrina and positions taken by insurers, the financial condition of the insurers, the willingness of BHS’ customers to absorb price increases and the actions of BHS’ competitors, BHS’ ability to maintain subscriber growth and return to a lower disconnect rate, costs associated with BHS’ new facility, the ability of BHS to hire and retain high quality employees at reasonable costs in Knoxville, the return to profitability of operations in jurisdictions where the Company has recorded valuation adjustments, the ability of Brink’s competitors to provide safe and reliable service at a lesser cost, Brink’s ability to cost effectively match customer demand with appropriate resources, Brink’s loss experience, changes in insurance costs, Brink’s ability to integrate recent acquisitions, the performance of Brink’s European operations and the effect of recent restructuring efforts, the input of governmental authorities regarding the non-payment of customs duties and value-added tax, the ability of the home security industry to dissuade law enforcement and municipalities from refusing to respond to alarms, the willingness of BHS’ customers to pay for private response personnel or other alternatives to police responses to alarms, the amount of work performed by third parties in connection with the Company’s compliance with Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, the demand for capital by the Company and the availability of such capital, the cash, debt and tax position and growth needs of the Company, the funding of and accounting for the VEBA, the determination of taxes owed from the BAX Global sale and offsets to these taxes in addition to the Company’s tax credit carryforwards, the stability of the Venezuelan economy and changes in Venezuelan policy regarding exchange rates for dividend remittances, discovery of new facts relating to civil suits, the addition of claims or changes in relief sought by adverse parties, changes in the scope or method of remediation or monitoring, the decision to require the replacement of the component used by BHS, the timing of any such replacement and the costs associated therewith, payments received by BHS from the third party that sold the component to BHS, the financial condition of that third party, the ability of BHS to complete new installations and respond to other service calls during the time allotted to replace the component, the nature of the Company’s hedging relationships, the financial performance of the Company, overall economic and business conditions, foreign currency exchange rates, changes in assumptions underlying the Company’s critical accounting policies, as more fully described in the section “Application of Critical Accounting Policies” but including, the likelihood that net deferred tax assets will be realized, discount rates, expectations of future performance, the timing of deductibility of expenses, estimated reconnection experience at BHS, anticipated return on assets, projections regarding the number of participants in and beneficiaries of the Company’s employee and retiree benefit plans, inflation, and the promulgation and adoption of new accounting standards and interpretations, including FIN 47, FSP APB 18-1, FASB Interpretation 46, and SFAS 123R, mandatory or voluntary pension plan contributions, the impact of continuing initiatives to control costs and increase profitability, pricing and other competitive industry factors, fuel prices, new government regulations, legislative initiatives, judicial decisions, variations in costs or expenses and the ability of counterparties to perform.